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Everything posted by Born Hunter
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There’s only 2600 confirmed cases in the UK mate. Statistically you’d have to know 25000 people to know just one with it. Even with the worst case scenario of half a million dying, that’s only 1 dear for every 130 people. I mean that’s bad of course, lol, but plenty of scope to be worse.
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I think we should flatten the f***ing lot.
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This topic was touched near the start of this thread. There's a few different companies working of vaccines. I think this one going to human trials is a quite new way of making a vaccine, they're called 3rd generation vaccines if you want to read up on them. Still, I'm led to believe it's the trials are are the most time consuming part. I wouldn't hold ya breath for one this year.
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Thing is mate, even if we were more self sufficient for security reasons we're still gonna do business with the world. That horse has bolted and is never going back. For instance, I work for an oil service company. Our activity almost tracks the price oil is traded at. When industry grinds to a halt because of a pandemic demand drops and so we become exposed. Nation state or not we are always going to do business with the rest of the world. Likewise, there are resources that we as a nation just don't have, we have to buy them from others. Simply finding an alternative may put us at a sign
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Well, I guess I'm quite fortunate at the moment. I've just moved all my work office kit home and setup remotely. How long for, who knows but we're making the effort. Many, in manual jobs, can't and they will be financial struggling if forced to stay home. That might in itself f**k me anyway as companies like that of my employers go under due to economic crash. Hopefully this global economy is more resilient than that.
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If the shit ever hit the fan properly I'd be staying the f**k away from anyone who has more than six pints of milk and a dozen bog rolls. That's my acid test for lunacy!
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I thought the same re all the countries. Gotta be careful with the numbers mate. They're only the confirmed numbers. Heaps of mild cases going unconfirmed. The studies are literally being published weekly, but a recent one estimated only 14% diagnosis rate in China due to that. Death numbers are far more likely to be accurate. It was estimated that 55000 cases in the UK. Potentially very low fatality rate, only really significant because it's new and ripping through us fast.
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If they go about it randomly like they were. I dunno what the threshold is but if it's low enough I would be up for voluntary infection of low risk people (I assume I'm very low risk). Once the threshold is hit reintegrate the high risk individuals back into society. Too risky? Impossible without compromising human rights?
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Would it make you happier if I agreed? LOL. The measures we're going to as a society to combat this are unprecedented. But it ain't leaving a noticeable dent in the population, it ain't nature wiping us out or the end of society. I'm still far more concerned for the economy than lives. Let's be grounded, this new strategy has no objective other than hope it goes away or a vaccine is developed so yes, life is going to change for a while and it will have to change even more if folks aren't making an effort. Words like dark and deep and serious cunjur up thoughts of people dying all around
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In the interests of presenting the experts views, this is what has caused the change in strategy here.
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696 total cases, 7 dead, couple hundred active still. I also thought that that would make a brilliant case study.
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I only quote other stats to put this in perspective. We're all very focussed on this one disease with no real reference to judge it by. We're judging it by policy, rather than actual fatality, morbidity etc data, which seems bizarre to me. Yes I get that the policy decisions are unprecedented but that doesn't mean that it's going to be bad. It means it would be bad if we did nothing. I'll be back when it's all blown over and you lot can tell me I was wrong. LOL
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I don't understand that. Yes I'm looking at stats/data, is that wrong? Yes I agree it's inconclusive at this point. But inconclusive is inconclusive. Ie it doesn't conclude that were all doomed.
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911 I guess. Fair, maybe I'm just a psycho. I look at the data, not policies to judge severity. I can imagine much worse futures than this. This doesnt even begin to scare me.
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If they did nothing we could reasonably expect hundreds of thousands to millions dying globally over the course of it. Not just that but because it's a pandemic, it'll hit the whole world in a short period and so put a large percentage of people out of action si ultaneously and swamp resources. There would be absolute mayhem, especially with today's level of connectivity. Be all sorts of social unrest I expect. I still don't consider the threat to life or health particularly concerning. Were dealing with it pretty well. What's concerned me is how much concern there seems to be! Let's just keep
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I don't know mate. All I'm thinking is God f***ing help us if something I consider serious ever happens.
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Yep, agree, out of likes again. I think we can make some educated guesses but you are right, it's a bit of an unknown. The stats will be forgotten though mate as everyone gets on with their lives. The next disaster will come and everyone will be in panick stations again. I want to present a graph of global deaths after this and see if folks can identify when this pandemic hit the world. The way folks are carrying on I imagine it'll be obvious.
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We're all in the exponential growth stage though so it's likely to change rapidly, hence why policy changes as it develops.
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Four times as many cases per million compared to the UK. About on par with Germany and France.
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FYI Ireland has 35 cases per million.
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The UK making a balls up of it alright. LOL That be us there with just about the lowest incidence rate (far right)....
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Haven't Aramco tried this trick before... to flatten the shale drillers? Only problem was they didn't quite realise how adaptable the shale guys were who largely reduced their operating costs meaning they could come back on line at a lower price than before. I cant see this one being long lived though. I reckon both sides will play chicken and then renegotiate. Can't see any adaptations keeping the price down like last time. Well, I hope not! Pays the bills! LOL
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Ive run out of likes mate. Im sure my life could be better but im quite health conscious. Eg sleep is a big one I preach about. I was talking about all this with a mate and told her that I hope if one thing comes from all this it's that people start valuing their health. Best chance of surviving this pandemic is being in good health, no matter your age. Keep your body and mind fit and your immune system tip top.
