Born Hunter
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Everything posted by Born Hunter
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Came on here to post the same
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The reality is that the most stable price at the pump for us is about 1.30 a litre. Less than that means the oil industry is struggling and will probably stop investing leading to an undersupply later on and a price boom. If you want to get the price at the pump down in a sustainable way either we need a game changing technology to arrive or the government need to cut the tax.
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Decent piece on what we could do even if we wanted to in the strait. If called upon, what assets could the Royal Navy send to the Gulf? - Navy Lookout WWW.NAVYLOOKOUT.COM Donald Trump has called for allies to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz (SOH). Here, we consider whether...
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And that’s just the cost at the pump. The oil company that extracted it from the North Sea pay something stupid like 85% tax on profits! Why would anyone want to increase domestic production to reduce the oil price when the government rinses the f**k out of them for being good at it. The British government f***ing hate oil&gas!
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General high level answer, yes in terms of people and platforms. Politically they lack cohesion and will. Supply chain and logistics I really wouldn’t know, so much dependence on global supply chains I would be curious to see how resilient Europe is there. As innovative as the European defence industry is, I fear we don’t have the production capacity right now to sustain war. But generally, in the face of a serious threat then I would say Europe could withstand. The Polish forces alone would be a formidable land force. The UK and France combined bring a decent enough navy and nuclear
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That is exactly why imo. Entering the straits now will not be without serious risk. A lucky ballistic missile or a sneaky UUV sinking a warship would be politically catastrophic, and potentially the turning point for completely dragging the US into a long war. Having international support going into that and of course the midterms would be a huge boost for Trump.
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Do you think Trump would see the difference between “we can’t” and “we won’t”? It’s a real simple decision for Starmer because none of his voter base want it, he looks principled at a time when he’s 20 u-turns deep. The yanks started a war unilaterally, have spent the last several years telling us how weak we are, after 20 yrs of ME clusterfucks and now expect us to wade in with them. Even I find that outrageous. Add to that the fact that our carriers have no real standoff offensive weapons right now because of Lockheed continually delaying the integration of our weapons to the UK lighte
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They have to do a certain amount of drills and exercises before deploying. They could of course forgo these but that would then introduce risk during the deployment. I guess that risk has been deemed unacceptable given the assets already in the region.
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So like I said you missed my point. It wasn’t a solution it was a tool for demonstrating the real problem, lack of priority in government and the electorate.
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It will be super interesting to see if marines are deployed to capture island/s. A significant part of their doctrine in a potential future war with china is island hoping. A successful operation would send a big message to the Chinese. I wonder how the US citizens feel about boots on the ground though.
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Why reference what I said then? Of course the burden is upon the tax payer. They make up the electorate and decide through elections what their money is spent on. And time and again fail to prioritise defence or its funding. Fail to hold government accountable for waste or dumb initiatives. I just find it so lazy to always say “we’ll use the foreign aid budget”. Like that isn’t one tenth what is needed or even a political reality.
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There is simply not the political will from the government or the electorate to pay for a military proportionate to our expectations. Using a doubling of income tax was a simple example for what would be needed. Yes of course alternatively you could pay for it by diverting funds from other spending or find efficiencies but I find that frankly lazy because it’s proven no more doable than raising taxes. Even if all that could be done you would then be faced with the same political dilemma we face with every other budget/tax scenario, e.g., “spend it on anything other than defence”. The Brit
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Then you missed my point.
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Interesting seeing the response to this war (and the Epstein saga) from Trumps base. Just regular god fearing patriotic hard working Americans. Kinda the same shift in feelings that we are seeing towards Farage in the UK. I think the Republicans will get murdered in the midterms. I don’t think it’s likely but I wouldn’t rule out criminal trials tbh. Trumps tearing up the sort of political norms that protect presidents.
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Underrated! Everyone raves about it! There was outrage when the DoD said they were replacing the A10s with the F35 in the CAS role.
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173! I very much doubt any US ground force of that size is operating in Iran.
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I think there have been many successful campaigns, even against Muslim enemies that show that a war can be fought to Western standards without resorting to salted earth and genocide. But there is no magic book of military strategy. Does this feel like one of the US’ great military moments? The stated goal of the US is regime change, to one that is aligned and compliant to US interests, like much of the Arab side of the Muslim world is. They want the moderates and rebels of Iran to rise to take power after the US has hamstrung the oppressive regime that is in power. If the US have too many
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I’m not suggesting sitting down with the enemy to have a cup of tea. This is plainly pragmatic, if your actions in war increase the resolve of the enemy and acts to increase their recruitment then you have a shit strategy that either ends in your defeat or a pivot to effectively genocide. To say that killing the children of Iranians (or more accurately as you say Muslims) doesn’t matter because they don’t care about anything other than allah is just ludicrous. Like they raise a family because it’s fun! They love their kids just like we love ours, and they grieve just like we do when they’
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Allah isn’t even part of the equation here, kill someone’s child and they will look to kill you back. Even if they put their god in front of their family. Which a common value shared with most Christian Americans. God, family, country.
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I’m not quick to forget anything mate. My point is that the war should be working towards positive change. And bombing schools does not achieve that. And the way the us political leadership are acting I’m not at all surprised it happened so soon. There is a point when a strategy of striking military targets to achieve political change fails if you have too many accidents and create more enemy than you kill. This war is going as well as Iraq or Afghan at this stage. It’s the bit the yanks do well. But that school strike is one good example of how things go wonky very f***ing quickly.
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Fair. But who’s ‘they’? The regime? Agree. The family? Totally disagree.
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If one good thing comes out of this for the UK (strictly imo, many will disagree) it’s the realisation of how much our military power and readiness has been degraded. I think even Joe bloggs feels a bit of embarrassment on behalf of his country over this. I’ve been saying for years now that we are entering a new era global power struggle and investing in defence is not a luxury. We have so many weaknesses that only get exposed at times like this. Fortunately this time it’s just embarrassing, next time it could be catastrophic.
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I sympathise with a lot of what you say. Equally wouldn’t trust an Israeli as far as I could chuck one. The counter to all this “killing the regime is good” is that within five minutes the yanks dropped a TLAM into a school and deleted over a hundred children. Now you don’t need to be an Islamist, a Muslim or even religious to see how that can motivate a loved one to dedicate their life to revenge. As impressive as the American war machine is, their leadership are acting like chimpanzees.
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It’s a bit presumptuous that our carrier is going to the Middle East to help the yanks. But then I doubt any of his posts are run by his national security advisor or ambassador. He’s just lashing out because he’s upset with Starmer over the bases and Chagos. He's still in the honeymoon period with their ‘war that’s not a war’. It’s the bit the yanks do well. The lasting change that they are historically bad at and come to bite them hard. If they don’t achieve effective regime change then all they will have done is stirred the hornets nest once again. Short term they may have d
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Early 1900s colonial era 12 month safari! If a Time Machine is out of scope then either some sort of dangerous game hound hunt (mountain lion / leopard) or another mountain rifle hunt, dall sheep or goat in NA.
